David J.
Danto
AV, Collaboration, IoT, Technology, UC and Video Industry Consultant and
Analyst
Director of Emerging
Technology
Interactive
Multimedia & Collaborative Communications Alliance
eMail: ddanto@IMCCA.org Follow Industry News: @NJDavidD
(Read David’s Bio) (See
David’s CV) (Read David’s Other Blogs & Articles)
A View From The Road Volume 14, Number
1
CES 2020 – Seeing Things
Clearly Now
In This Edition:
· Link to the Full Webcast
· A Framework for AI
· Plunging Prices and Commonplace
Available of Wireless Earbuds
· Other Key Points From The Event
The always crowded and bustling CES Expo
& Conference had nearly 200K attendees this year
Greetings from Las Vegas
where CES 2020 has just concluded. As
the new decade began, CES presented us with interesting ideas as opposed to
breakthrough products, continuing the trend of concepts over devices I’ve
reported on for the last few years.
I never try to compete with
the likes of CNET or Engaget or the other tech media
when it comes to covering the big stories / already widely-touted news from
CES. I attend to try to find the things
people would never know about unless they attended the show themselves.
CLick the photo to watch my
Connected! webcast from CES 2020.
My AVNationTV
webcast provides that experience – running a whopping one hour and twelve
minutes this year. I highly recommend
taking a look at all the little gems I was able to highlight. Because the video is so long and comprehensive,
I’ll keep this blog brief – only hitting a couple of the highlights of this
year’s themes.
~~~~~~
I was very impressed with LG’s press conference this year, as they
introduced a framework for AI as it becomes increasingly important in our
devices and lives.
LG proposes a four level “Framework
for AI” that the technology industry can follow for consistency.
(Be sure to watch my webcast for
more of an explanation on this framework and some video examples of the levels.) AI (Artificial Intelligence) and ML (Machine Learning)
were amongst the key themes this year, with CTA’s Vice President of research
Steve Koenig postulating that IoT will no longer
stand for the Internet of Things, but will rather morph to meaning the Intelligence
of Things. It is clear that we all will be
moving from just interacting with our devices, onto our devices interacting
with each other and developing an intelligent mesh that will improve our
experiences. The next generation of
wireless communications (5G) was also widely touted at the conference this
year, but it was a lot more hype than substance – a point called out by my
friend Josh Srago in his recent article. In any case, AI and 5G won the CES 2020
buzzword bingo awards this year.
~~~~~~
Ten or fifteen years ago the commonplace product at CES was LEDs that
blinked on your mobile phone antenna as you spoke on your call. Five years ago the antenna were gone and the
commonplace product at CES was mobile phone cases. This year, the clear winner was true wireless
earbuds. One couldn’t walk twenty feet
without running into some new company making their own version of these.
True Wireless Earbuds were everywhere.
With the mobile phone manufacturers mostly eliminating the headphone jack
on their devices, and with Apple producing their very expensive version of this
product class, many manufacturers have identified a market opportunity. The prices being discussed for these systems
begin at around $30-$40. What that means
for consumers is that within eighteen months, these devices will be
commonplace, inexpensive and will exhibit diminishing quality. It’ll surely be a race to the bottom, as you
grab a pair of earbuds with your gum and breath-mints at the grocery store
check-out counter. Anyone wasting money
on the expensive Apple Airpods today and not waiting
for this revolution to bubble-up is insane.
This trend does have at least one positive aspect. Firms like Phonak and Eargo are making the next generation of hearing-aids at
earbud prices, driving the price of this essential tool for the hearing
impaired down (from highs of ~6K to more like a few hundred bucks) and removing
the stigma from wearing devices that at worst now look like the earbuds
everybody else will be wearing. Bravo
for this long needed disruption.
~~~~~~
My final point about CES in this blog is that the trend from real products
to concepts means that there are a lot of useless things shown at the
conference, and more and more sneak-in every year. Without the need to go for funding from a
bank or VC firm, and without the need of even producing a working product,
ridiculous products that waste both attendees time and expo floor space manage
to get in to the conference. Two examples
from both ends of the spectrum are a “Smart Potato” and a Mercedes-Benz Avatar
Themed Car.
The Smart Potato and the Avatar Car -
Opposite ends of the same problem.
One exhibitor – likely as fed-up as I am with the hype of products that are
not real and are time wasters —actually stuck an antenna into a potato, listed
it on IndieGoGo, and purchased a Eureka Park
booth to show it off. The fact that it
did nothing and was ridiculous didn’t stop the team selling booth space from
giving him a spot. (Read all about this here.) On the opposite end of the same spectrum,
Mercedes-Benz had a booth the size of a baseball practice field – so large in
fact that it actually had a fully functioning kitchen built into it behind the
scenes to support the staff working there.
They used it to show a smaller than scale vehicle that was themed around
the movie Avatar. Far bigger and slicker
than the Smart Potato, but no more useful to the attendees. These ridiculous non-products just add to the
time and size of CES, but don’t do anything to further the industry or foretell
the future. They just increase the floor
space and the sales quotas of the team selling it.
~~~~~~
That’s it for this edition of A View From The
Road. The next one will be after
Enterprise Connect in late March – early April, but do join us in New York end
of February for Collaboration
Week New York – the second-annual, free, not-to-be-missed event in the
collaboration space!
==================================================================================
This article was written by David Danto and contains solely their own,
personal opinions.
David has had over three decades of
experience delivering successful business outcomes in media and collaboration
technology for various firms in the corporate, broadcasting and academic worlds
- including AT&T, Bloomberg LP, FNN, Morgan Stanley, NYU, Lehman Brothers
and JP Morgan Chase. He is now a consultant for the collaboration, multimedia,
video and AV industries. He is also honored to serve as IMCCA’s
Director of Emerging Technology, as the editor of Sound and
Communication’s IT/AV Report, and as Poly’s Director of UC Strategy and Research..
David can be reached at DDanto@imcca.org and his full bio and other blogs and
articles can be seen at Danto.info.
All
images and links provided above as reference under prevailing fair use
statutes.