David J.
Danto
Business travel
thoughts in my own, personal opinion
eMail: ddanto@IMCCA.org Follow Industry News: @NJDavidD
NOT Traveling Blog, 4th
Week Of October 2020
David Danto’s ongoing list of disjointed and occasionally random
observations and thoughts as we wait-out the pandemic – mostly NOT traveling
like we used to.
There was
an interesting
study released last week that showed how safe airline travel was in the era
of COVID19. The US Department of Defense worked
with ‘researchers’ and the ‘U.S. Transportation Command,’ and concluded that “within the scope of the test, the results
showed an overall low exposure risk from aerosolized pathogens like covid-19 on
these aircraft…”
Now nobody wants to restart normal traveling and flying
habits more than I do. (There are
probably plenty of people who want to as much as I do, but none more.) While this is an encouraging study, when one peels the onion on it a bit, it
comes-off as a clearly biased attempt to get more people to fly, not a true
scientific research experiment.
Clearly, the test conditions were ridiculous. They placed test receptacles in some seats in
the aircraft, then placed “a mannequin
expelling simulated virus particles” in other seats – and then put a mask
on it. This process proved that if
everyone on the plane wears a mask all the time, and everyone stays in their
seats all the time, then any virus particles that do make it into the cabin’s
air supply are removed by the aircraft filtration system. That’s good to know, except it’s not a
realistic simulation of a flight. In the
real world people remove their masks to eat and drink; people get up from their
seats to line-up at the restrooms; people actually have to board the flight –
walking in the aisle(s); people retrieve things out of the overhead bins; and
on and on and on. Ask yourself this
question: if the researchers went to all this trouble to do this test – having
the gas receptacles in place, having a test ‘transmitter’ and a substance that
could mimic the aerosol virus spread, having a working aircraft with a fully
running air filtration system set-up, etc. – how hard would it have been to put
the mannequin in front of the restroom door for a while? How hard would it have
been to remove the mask from the mannequin for a couple of minutes? How hard would it have been to have the
mannequin positioned over the seat with the receptacle, simulating a person
putting their bag in the overhead bin?
Of course, adding these few scenarios to an already running test would
not have been hard at all – yet they were not done. The only reasonable conclusion one can make
when looking at this omission is that they didn’t want to have the answers to
those other questions. They wanted to
have a study released that glossed-over its ‘limitations’ so that they could
say the “results were encouraging”
even though not conclusive by a long shot.
Sadly, in this era of science being pushed aside for politics and ‘alternate facts’ one has to take such
studies with a huge helping of skepticism.
As I’ve said before, if the airlines want to convince us that
it’s safe to fly again, there are concrete steps that they’ll have to take to
do that:
· Every passenger and crewmember needs
to be tested for COVID19 at the airport before boarding, and those that test
positive need to be barred from flying.
· Every passenger and crewmember needs
to wear masks on board at all times.
· The airline CEO / President and his
family needs to show me video of them boarding and flying a standard commercial
flight in coach. When they believe it is
safe enough to risk themselves and their families then I’ll believe them when
they say that it’s safe enough for me and my family.
As I sit here today – at the end of October – I believe that
an optimistic view of when people can actually start flying again would be July
2021 – and that’s only if we have full distribution of a successful
vaccine. The not-optimistic view is that
we’ve lost 2021 entirely, and my next business trip will likely be for CES 2022
in January – fourteen months from now. I hope I’m wrong about how much longer we all
have to go through this, but I don’t see that as likely right now.
On a completely different and less depressing topic, I’m
working on my next “Traveler’s Toolbox” article as I type this. I’ve come across some great new portable
tools/devices/gadgets that I can recommend be put into everyone’s precious
carry-on space. If you’ve got any cool
things you’d like me to add please drop me an email. We’re all better travelers when we help each
other out.
As always, please feel
free to write to me with comments or items I should add to a future Not
Traveling blog (or if you just need someone to write to.) Stay safe, be well, hug those you’re
sheltering with (but no one else) and do your best to stay positive. We’re going to be in this for a long
while.
This article was written by David Danto and contains solely his own, personal
opinions.
All image and links provided above as reference under
prevailing fair use statutes.
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The Explanation
for my Not Traveling blogs: In 2014 I was voted
by USA Today readers as one of the top ten business travel bloggers in the
USA. Now mind you,
I turned out to be number ten on the list of ten, but I did make it on (with my
thanks to all those who voted.) Now
that we’re all stuck at home and not traveling, I had to think about what to do
with my blogs. I could stop writing them
entirely – waiting till we all get through the current COVID19 pandemic /
crisis. I could wax nostalgic and/or
complain about past trips. Or, I could
focus all of my efforts on my day job – growing the use of collaboration
technologies – especially in light of how many people are now forced to use
those tools for the first time. In
reflecting upon those choices, what I decided to do is compile an ongoing list
of observations during the crisis. Some
of these may amuse, some may inform, some may sadden and others may help. My goal will be for you to have seen something
in a different light than you did before you stopped to read the blog. I was going to apologize for how disjointed
these thoughts may seem when put together, but then it dawned on me that
feeling disjointed is our new normal – at least for a little while.